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美国废钢市场趋势展望:2026年11月价格预计大幅上涨

US scrap trends outlook: November 2026

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美国废钢市场参与者预计11月价格将大幅上涨,趋势指标升至70.6,预示环比上涨7.1%,上月涨幅为4.8%。需求走强是主要驱动因素,钢厂订单充足且热轧卷价格上涨,但废钢进口增加形成一定抵消;供应端到货疲软、供应商惜售,库存指标42.6显示库存低于平均水平。卖方情绪最为看涨,趋势指标为75.0,高于买方的70.0和经纪商的66.7。

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Here are the key takeaways from market participants on US ferrous scrap metal prices, market confidence, inventory and more from our November 2026 survey.

November 4, 2026

Strong Price Increases Expected Amid Higher Demand

US scrap market participants anticipate a significant increase in prices in November, with the Trend Indicator reaching 70.6, pointing to a forecasted month-on-month rise of 7.1%. This follows a 4.8% increase in the previous month, suggesting further upward momentum in the market.

Read on for some highlights from our US ferrous scrap market survey for November 2026 or click here to download your copy of the full US scrap trends outlook.

Modeling allows for an average month-on-month price increase

Sentiment is bullish across all market participants, particularly sellers, whose Trend Indicator stands at 75.0, compared with 70.0 for buyers and 66.7 for brokers. The consensus indicator of 77 also suggests a relatively high level of disagreement among respondents regarding the market outlook.

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Higher demand is being offset by increased scrap imports.

Survey participant

Mixed market sentiment

Higher demand is identified as the main driver of expected price increases. Strong mill order books and rising hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices are supporting scrap demand, while some mills are bringing forward purchases to anticipate potential price increases in the first quarter of 2027.

On the supply side, weak inbound scrap flows and suppliers holding back material are contributing to tighter market conditions. The Inventory Indicator stands at 42.6, suggesting below-average stock levels, further supporting upward price pressure.

Overall, the combination of robust demand, constrained supply and seasonal purchasing patterns points to a strongly bullish outlook for November.

Source: Fastmarkets · 行业资讯 · fastmarkets.com

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