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AI 支出担忧拖累铜价,10 月或结束三个月连涨

Copper price set for first monthly loss since June as AI spending worries weigh

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AI 导读

伦敦金属交易所三个月期铜 10 月 30 日下跌 1.5% 至 14,140 美元/吨,10 月累计下跌 1.8%,将结束自 6 月以来的三个月连涨,AI 高额支出回报存疑、油价上涨与科技股下挫压低风险偏好。铜价仍获现货对三个月合约升水支撑,洋山铜溢价维持在 205 美元/吨的 13 年高位附近。供应端,力拓因地震事件开始恢复蒙古 Oyu Tolgoi 铜矿地下作业,智利 9 月铜产量同比下降 15%;LME 锡下跌 2.4% 至 48,505 美元/吨,印尼 9 月精炼锡出口同比下降 18%。

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Copper prices fell on Friday and were on track to snap a three-month winning streak in October as concerns that heavy spending on AI may not generate sufficient returns weighed on risk appetite.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was down 1.5% at $14,140 a metric ton by 1720 GMT, after touching a one-week low of $14,133 earlier in the session.

The metal, used in power and construction, was set to post a 1.8% decline in October as higher oil prices and a slump in tech shares prompted a flight to bonds.

Copper continued to draw support from a premium of the LME cash contract over the three-month benchmark CMCU0-3, as months of shipments into US stocks have reduced metal availability in traditional consuming hubs.

“Backwardation in copper remains elevated, pointing to persistent near-term tightness,” said Neil Welsh, head of metals at broker Britannia Global Markets.

The Yangshan copper premium SMM-CUYP-CN, a gauge of Chinese demand for imported copper, remained near a 13-year high of $205 a ton, signalling strong appetite in the world’s top metals consumer.

The premium has been supported by tighter domestic scrap supplies and LME copper’s retreat from the record high of $14,875 a ton reached in September.

On the supply side, Rio Tinto began restarting underground operations at its Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia after a seismic event. Chile’s copper output fell 15% year-on-year in September.

Among other LME metals, tin CMSN3 was down 2.4% at $48,505 a ton after touching $48,100, its lowest level in more than six months, due to worries about AI-related spending. Indonesia’s September refined tin exports fell 18% year on year.

Aluminium CMAL3 lost 0.4% to $3,064, zinc CMZN3 fell 1.3% to $3,831, lead CMPB3 eased 0.3% to $1,908, while nickel CMNI3 slid 1.8% to $15,250.

(Reporting by Polina Devitt; additional reporting by Solomon Cefai; Editing by Joyjeet Das and Jonathan Ananda)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

来源:Kitco News · 行业资讯 · kitco.com

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文中公司资料

  • 力拓(Rio Tinto)

    力拓在其蒙古奥尤陶勒盖(Oyu Tolgoi)矿山发生地震事件后,开始重启井下作业。

    资料出处:原文依据

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